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Beschreibung

Diese Abschlussarbeit war Teil des Projektes "Standardentwicklung Besuchermonitoring".
The visitor data provided by the Black Forest National Park are analyzed and modeled according to its seasonality. They are measured in units of count and therefore the integer valued time series models INGARCH and NBINGARCH are used. The data are shown to follow both daily and weekly patterns, while it only faintly follows yearly patterns. They also exhibit signs of overdispersion, which leads to the use of the NBINGARCH being favored over the use of the INGARCH model.

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